EDITORIAL
of Eugenio Scalfari
But now what happens? This question of whether the rebound all, demand has also become a bar, even among people who usually do not dealing with policy and discuss if anything, to sports bars, training teams and Totti and Cassano. A sign that something new has happened, something which is leaking from the bubble of political jargon and reached the common man, that is the belly of the country.
to confirm what I write are the most recent polls on the mood of the "sovereign people" means the level of abstentions, those who have no intention to vote, between 15 and 20 percent as it ever was. Rather increases the number of undecided traveling above the 30 per cent. The undecided are precisely those who ask: "And now what happens?".
The question comes from the left, center, from right. Especially from the right, where it is increasingly widespread perception that the cycle is concluded Berlusconi. It's a cycle that lasts at least 25 years, so it is wrong to think it started in '94, with the first government of the Knight. It started much earlier, when television began the ascent of Berlusconi's Fininvest and incubation in the veins of the nation. Of course, other events conspired to change radically anthropological profile of the Italians: the stagnation of the economy, the fall of the competitiveness of the private and public corruption became a system of government, the growing gap between North and South, the implosion of Communism and the fall of the Berlin Wall.
In a society confused by these injuries and the resulting discomfort, the Berlusconi arrived with an unexpected driving un'irruenza the anthropological mutation which has assumed the dimensions of a real metamorphosis. They disappeared the traditional classes, the model collapsed Iri, big industry was reduced to a few niches without driving force, increased inequality. Among the rich and the poor, he stood a middle class with a gelatinous trend of impoverishment, which is dominated by the fear of relegation and in need of support to the miracle of hope and that hope on someone who built his legend. Lean that is the story that was aired every night on television screens.
That cycle is over, leaving a country full of woe material and moral ruins, to the point that the word "moral" is now the subject of jokes and mockery. Every public speech, wherever it comes from, always begins with the phrase: "I will not moralism," or with the insult: "You are a moralist." If you want a measure of degradation, is all nell'impronunciabilità of that word. And now what happens?
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change moral, cultural and economic changes - like it or not - to funnel the political and revolves around two names, up to three: Berlusconi, Fini, Bossi. Against the background of course there is all the opposition to Casini Di Pietro. Without the opposition nothing can be done but its behavior is required. Vendola for the time being outside the perimeter of the lot, as well as various Chiamparino and Renzi. If anything, will come into play whenever you go to vote because the parliamentary arena, where now the game is played, they are not there.
Berlusconi is over, the national conscience that is slowly awakening has already notified the yellow card, but the red still no immediate expulsion, so it's still out there and play very hard because he is aware that he is out in the next match.
If we wanted to take a mo 'for example the game of chess, I would say that he is the king who struggles to avoid checkmate, Fini is attacking the queen can move in many directions, Bossi played with a tower to defend the king. Alfieri and distribute them as you like horses among other supporting actors of the game, keeping in mind that many of these pieces were removed from the board.
Berlusconi tries to hang Fini offers a covenant of the legislature. If accepted Fini, Casini should follow it only because the center does not look likely. But I believe that Fini will not accept and the reason is simple: if you leave the alliance fell to his opponent two years time, check other dolphins and especially with this electoral law, in 2013 Berlusconi might still hope to climb the Quirinale. Then the red card would not be anymore.
Fini will speak today in Perugia. For what I think, and what we learned yesterday from the harsh words of Italo Bocchino, I would say that between him and the prime minister is no more common ground. The new party will vote finiano whatever measures it considers useful to the country and will vote against those it deems harmful, and when raised the issue of trust was the Finian decide on the substance of the measure and do not trust. I think this should be done Fini and I think it will. But it could also yield to the blandishments and pressures of those who do not want to break her. If this happens, Fini will in a meat grinder and reduced in 2013 will come out in a meatball.
Bossi. Since playing with a tower, it can only go vertically or horizontally on the board. Translated into political terms: who can endure indefinitely Fini Berlusconi face cook over low heat and with him also the league or it can be for him to pull the plug in January and February. My feeling is that Berlusconi will remove the plug or compel to do so. At that point (ie between three months) is going on?
* * * At that point the game moves into the hands of the President of the Republic who has a right and duty: first to dissolve the Chamber must determine whether a majority alternative. You can be sure that Napolitano will make the verification, the world collapsed. But there is a majority alternative? There is certainly room to when Fini is ready to give birth with Casini a government that includes of course the Democratic Party and Italy of Values. In the Senate this deployment does not reach a majority but more than likely that several senators to pass the center of the PDL-Fini Casini. This will be the most difficult point of the verification of Napolitano. Much will depend on who the person in charge of probing the various groups and groups of Palazzo Madama. The last time the poll had him Marini and replied in the negative, the majority alternative was not there. This time the responsibility for verification should be the center of a personality that it inspires the confidence of Fini and Casini-left opposition to the Quirinal and the parties involved are safe objectivity of the audit.
If the answer is negative Napolitano will dissolve the Chambers, will be positive if the new government with the center and left. Last Sunday I wrote that the president of this government should be a personality beyond the parties and with the maximum of authority and called him "Mister X". But it could also be a personality center authoritative and accepted by all. We can make predictions but we have to stop at some point come into play when the prerogatives of Head of state and here we get to that point and in fact we stop.
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However, we can assume that this new government will face and the Legislature is not dissolved. For how long? With what program? Walter Veltroni, in his interview to "Republic" a few days ago, said the government when in full Tangentopoli Ciampi President Oscar Luigi Scalfaro appointed Governor of the Bank of Italy to lead the legislature out of the shallows in which was moral and political stumbled.
The memory is irrelevant, the emergency we are facing is even greater than that of then for the simple reason that the government was then a man of considerable ability, Giuliano Amato, who was the first to indicate Ciampi to Head of State. Today at Palazzo Chigi is a populist who is more bad coinage for some time also seems rather dazed head. The last exit on homosexuals, if you think of specific cases, it clearly shows.
A Ciampi is very hard to find but not impossible. Or, as mentioned above, a character in the center that gives guarantees to everybody. It is evident that the President of the Republic has the interest, even a constitutional obligation to make a government without any time limit. The hypothesis of a ministry than a hundred days out of the picture. Then the program. It can only be a new law election, a federalism that would strengthen and not weaken national unity, an intelligent management of rigorous public finance, a new structure of welfare that protects all workers and young people and families in particular.
Then when you go to elections, we will have a center-right Republican and Constitution that the Centre will oppose a reformer. The first fight on the combination of freedom, equality and equal-second on the combination of freedom. The fraternity is good for both. I will say that these are dreams. I answer, first, that a little 'dream takes. And then say that a nation is always a reflection of his leadership. If the Prime Minister and Ministers act on the basis of an ethical-political common good, even as the nation did not consider morality as a dirty word.
POSTSCRIPT. Many readers ask me what I think of wolves and Ghedini, many of them have seen in various television lounges. What I think of them and the story that make the case. I think so: Ghedini is the lawyer of the President of the Council of Wolves is a leading member of the PDL and in addition is also a militant of the catholic Catholic Communion and Liberation.
Ghedini has become pathetic in his TV performances. Constantly repeated: "Not true" even when they read a statement signed by the quaestor or an investigating magistrate. On the moral actions of his client simply says: "It is not a crime." Moreover he is the inventor of the 'end user "a phrase that for years has entered the common parlance.
Wolf's case is more complex because of his militancy and his Catholic faith that he says (and we believe him) and implemented in the intense practice of his life. His narrative of the events did not differ from that of Ghedini and so far their problem, although contrasts markedly with the documented fact. But a Catholic is also questionable moral judgments. Well, Wolf refuses to give it. Publicly. He argues that the problem is not that. The problem is not moral but He argues that the efficiency and effectiveness (Berlusconi) and this is just because morality does not enter into politics.
This does not even say that Machiavelli was a Florentine of good to excellent anti-papist. He did not say even Cardinal Mazarin. Wolves but he says: the efficiency premium is for him to Catholic morality. It seems to me the most. In reality, both Wolves and Ghedini Berlusconi knows that when they too will come out of the picture is therefore at stake is their survival as a people of power. So I'm ready to say that the donkey fly and Berlusconi receives the "escort" because it has a good heart. Survival is survival. Morals have lost some time but I have written some years ago a book entitled "In search of lost moral" so they lose hope that find themselves.
(07 November 2010) © Reproduction
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